The U.S. dollar, according to bond expert Jeffrey Gundlach, is “the place to
be.”
The dollar has been strengthening as the Federal Reserve's asset-purchase
program winds down. At the same time, developed markets in the Euro Zone and
Japan are cranking up their own economic stimulus efforts. All of this has the
Deutsche Bank U.S. Dollar Index up 9 percent this year, after five straight
years of negative returns -- and DoubleLine's Gundlach thinks the dollar will
go on to top its 2009 highs.
Any investor with money in the S&P 500 Index already has exposure to the
dollar. But a number of exchange-traded funds offer ways to make a more
concentrated bet on a stronger greenback.
Currency ETFs
While there are 39 currency ETFs, only two attempt to benefit from a strong
dollar. The PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish Fund (UUP) is the oldest and
most popular, with $963 million in assets. It makes its dollar play by betting
against a basket of developed-market currencies. Its biggest bet is against the
euro, with a 57 percent weight; the next biggest bets are against the Japanese
yen (13 percent) and the British pound (11 percent). UUP is up 9 percent so far
this year, and charges 0.80 percent of assets annually.
Currency-Hedged Equity ETFs
Investors can also find currency-hedged equity ETFs. These can be helpful when the dollar is strong relative to other currencies. That's because a portfolio's international allocation can get out of whack when all of its foreign stock market gains get converted back into dollars, and fewer of them.
This currency conversion can be a boost or a drag. This year it has been a total drag. In Europe, for example, the currency effect is costing U.S. investors 9 percent of return. Look at the WisdomTree European Hedged Equity ETF (HEDJ). It tracks Euro Zone stocks and hedges out the effect of the euro. HEDJ is up 3 percent this year. Compare that with the 8 percent loss of the. source
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